Saturday, February 14, 2009

Valentine's Day PWR Update - Feeling The Love


With the Badgers off, there was still plenty of action impacting UW's all-important PWR rank. As of today, the PWR looks like this:

Record RPI
Rk Team PWR Rk W-L-T Win % Rk RPI
1 Boston University 24 1 23-5-1 .8103 1 .6038*
2t Notre Dame 22 2 22-5-3 .7833 2 .5795
2t Michigan 22 7 22-9-0 .7097 4 .5712
4 Vermont 21 9 16-7-4 .6667 5 .5663
5t Northeastern 19 5t 20-7-2 .7241 3 .5765
5t Princeton 19 4 18-6-0 .7500 6 .5567*
7t Cornell 17 8 15-5-4 .7083 7 .5546*
7t Miami 17 10 17-8-4 .6552 8 .5545
7t Yale 17 3 18-5-1 .7708 9 .5532*
10 Denver 16 13 17-9-4 .6333 10 .5520
11 Minnesota-Duluth 14 15 15-9-6 .6000 11 .5422
12 New Hampshire 13 20 13-9-5 .5741 12 .5414
13 North Dakota 12 16 17-11-3 .5968 14 .5404
14 Ohio State 11 11 18-9-4 .6452 13 .5409*
15 Wisconsin 10 18 16-11-3 .5833 15 .5380
16 Minnesota 9 22t 12-9-6 .5556 16 .5363
17 Boston College 8 22t 13-10-4 .5556 17 .5356
18 Air Force 7 5t 20-7-2 .7241 18 .5276*
19 Colorado College 6 19 14-9-8 .5806 19 .5261
20t St. Lawrence 5 21 15-11-3 .5690 20 .5248
20t St. Cloud State 5 24 16-13-2 .5484 21 .5231
22 Dartmouth 3 14 13-8-3 .6042 22 .5213
23 Mass.-Lowell 2 27 14-13-0 .5185 23 .5196
24 Alaska 1 28t 12-11-6 .5172 24 .5123
25 Minnesota State 0 35 13-14-3 .4833 25 .5090

UW moves up one spot to 15th. Still on the outside, but nevertheless a one spot improvement.

Things to note:

  • Mankato has broken into the top 25 of the RPI, and is now a TUC. This can be a double-edged sword - as a Saturday night win for them over UND certainly helps UW in the WCHA standings, but also makes it harder for UAA to climb in the top 25. If Mankato stays in the top 25, that adds much more importance to the series with the Landcows.
  • Wisconsin has also opened up the margin in the individual comparison with Minnesota. UAA's tie with the Gophers dropped their RPI a few points, but it was also the first series between the Seawolves and Rodents, thus UW's 4-0 record against UAA entered into the COp criteria, giving UW a relatively comfortable 4-2 comparison win. The RPI is still very tight, however - and Minnesota can flip that back into a 3-3 tie, with the RPI providing the tiebreak.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota

.5380 1 RPI 0 .5363
6-8-1 .4333 0 TUC 1 .5556 9-7-2
11-6-0 .6471 1 COp 0 .5882 8-5-4
2-1-1
2 H2H 1
1-2-1


4 TOT 2


A look at the individual comparison table shows which comparisons UW can realistically flip. Of the teams immediately ahead of UW, the RPI is the crucial factor in all of the comparisons. The margin between teams is extremely close, and winning the RPI will either flip the comparison in favor straight up or it will force a tie, and then break said tie.

The comparisons with UND and DU will be settled head to head. Ohio State, UNH, and UMD are all within striking distance in the RPI - but conversely, UW is also one or two bad games away from losing contact and falling behind.

For UW, improving their RPI remains the highest priority. Given their remaining schedule, the goals of winning the WCHA and improving their RPI are essentially the same. The margin is slim.

We'll see how Saturday's games shake things up.